Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.9%
Ayr
24.2%
Draw
15.8%
Hamilton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Ayr
vs
0.96
Hamilton
Markets
BTTS54.9%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.534.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
8.8%
3-0
6.9%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.8%
4-0
3.5%
0-1
3.4%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).