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AHT: 01CSV

19 Aug 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.5%
East Fife
34.4%
Draw
31.1%
Stenhousemuir

Expected Goals (xG)

1.11

East Fife

vs
1.04

Stenhousemuir

Markets

BTTS45.6%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.516.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.9%
0-0
14.2%
1-0
10.6%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
2.7%
3-0
2.6%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).