Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.6%
Ath Bilbao
29.7%
Draw
20.7%
Alaves
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Ath Bilbao
vs
0.72
Alaves
Markets
BTTS37.4%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.559.7%
Over 2.532.4%
Over 3.514.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.0%
0-0
13.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-0
11.1%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.0%
3-0
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
0-2
3.5%
3-1
3.4%
2-2
2.9%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).