Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.8%
Paderborn
22.0%
Draw
19.2%
Karlsruhe
Expected Goals (xG)
2.16
Paderborn
vs
1.18
Karlsruhe
Markets
BTTS62.1%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.542.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.0%
1-0
6.8%
3-0
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
0-0
4.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-1
3.8%
0-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).