Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.3%
Sudtirol
29.1%
Draw
43.6%
Sassuolo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Sudtirol
vs
1.41
Sassuolo
Markets
BTTS51.1%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
0-1
10.5%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
8.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
4.8%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).