Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.9%
St Pauli
21.5%
Draw
18.6%
Magdeburg
Expected Goals (xG)
2.22
St Pauli
vs
1.18
Magdeburg
Markets
BTTS62.7%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.566.0%
Over 3.544.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.2%
1-0
6.5%
3-0
6.1%
2-2
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
3-2
4.2%
0-0
4.2%
4-1
4.0%
4-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).