Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.6%
Strasbourg
25.2%
Draw
16.2%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Strasbourg
vs
0.62
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS34.9%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.561.2%
Over 2.534.8%
Over 3.516.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.8%
2-0
13.4%
0-0
11.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
8.3%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-2
2.6%
4-0
2.4%
0-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).