Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.0%
Falkirk
14.6%
Draw
6.3%
Hamilton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.84
Falkirk
vs
0.76
Hamilton
Markets
BTTS51.2%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.588.4%
Over 2.569.7%
Over 3.548.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.0%
3-0
10.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-0
7.4%
1-1
6.9%
1-0
6.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-0
4.2%
0-0
3.7%
2-2
3.2%
5-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).