Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.8%
Sheffield United
21.1%
Draw
53.1%
Luton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Sheffield United
vs
2.43
Luton
Markets
BTTS75.3%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.592.6%
Over 2.577.9%
Over 3.559.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-1
5.7%
2-3
5.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-4
4.0%
3-2
3.9%
0-3
3.9%
2-4
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).