Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.3%
Girona
27.9%
Draw
46.8%
Ath Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Girona
vs
1.41
Ath Madrid
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
0-1
12.7%
0-0
9.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.1%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.3%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).