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10 May 2026 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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75.3%
Sandefjord
14.7%
Draw
10.0%
Kristiansund

Expected Goals (xG)

2.66

Sandefjord

vs
0.87

Kristiansund

Markets

BTTS54.0%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.586.6%
Over 2.568.4%
Over 3.546.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.4%
3-0
9.2%
2-1
9.0%
3-1
8.0%
1-0
7.9%
1-1
6.7%
4-0
6.1%
4-1
5.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-2
3.5%
5-0
3.2%
1-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).