Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.2%
Bologna
25.1%
Draw
28.7%
Fiorentina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Bologna
vs
1.14
Fiorentina
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
8.2%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
0-0
6.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.7%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).