Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.9%
Granada
23.0%
Draw
18.1%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Granada
vs
0.86
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.0%
2-0
11.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.2%
3-0
6.7%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).