Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.2%
Charlton
25.1%
Draw
24.7%
Bolton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Charlton
vs
0.89
Bolton
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-0
10.0%
0-1
10.0%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
4.2%
0-2
4.0%
2-2
3.9%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).