Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.7%
AFC Wimbledon
30.5%
Draw
21.8%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
AFC Wimbledon
vs
0.66
Accrington
Markets
BTTS32.1%
Over 0.583.8%
Over 1.552.9%
Over 2.526.7%
Over 3.510.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.5%
0-0
16.2%
1-1
11.9%
0-1
11.5%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
7.0%
1-2
4.1%
3-0
4.1%
0-2
3.6%
3-1
2.7%
2-2
2.3%
4-0
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).