Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.4%
Norwich
27.6%
Draw
25.9%
Watford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Norwich
vs
1.06
Watford
Markets
BTTS51.7%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
8.7%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.6%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).