Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.5%
Oviedo
25.6%
Draw
18.9%
Andorra
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Oviedo
vs
0.77
Andorra
Markets
BTTS41.9%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.520.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.5%
2-0
11.8%
1-1
11.7%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.8%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
3.5%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).