Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.3%
Sevilla
25.9%
Draw
42.8%
Celta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Sevilla
vs
1.53
Celta
Markets
BTTS56.8%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-2
9.0%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
7.5%
1-0
7.3%
0-2
7.1%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
5.7%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).