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vs

22 Mar 2026 · 14:00

Verona

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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77.7%
Atalanta
15.2%
Draw
7.1%
Verona

Expected Goals (xG)

2.33

Atalanta

vs
0.55

Verona

Markets

BTTS37.9%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.532.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
15.3%
1-0
13.2%
3-0
11.9%
2-1
8.4%
1-1
7.0%
4-0
6.9%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
5.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-0
3.2%
0-1
3.2%
2-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).