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23 Nov 2024 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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87.6%
Shakhtar Donetsk
9.6%
Draw
2.8%
Inhulets

Expected Goals (xG)

2.89

Shakhtar Donetsk

vs
0.39

Inhulets

Markets

BTTS30.7%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.563.7%
Over 3.541.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
15.7%
3-0
15.1%
4-0
10.9%
1-0
10.7%
5-0
6.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-1
5.9%
1-1
4.4%
4-1
4.3%
0-0
3.9%
5-1
2.5%
0-1
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).