Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.9%
Valenciennes
22.9%
Draw
61.2%
Dunkerque
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65
Valenciennes
vs
1.60
Dunkerque
Markets
BTTS37.5%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.6%
0-2
13.4%
1-1
10.1%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
7.7%
0-3
7.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-1
3.6%
2-2
2.9%
0-4
2.9%
2-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).