Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.4%
Deportivo Alavés
27.7%
Draw
31.8%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Deportivo Alavés
vs
1.14
Elche
Markets
BTTS50.0%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.523.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-0
11.0%
0-1
9.5%
0-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).