Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.1%
Guingamp
21.0%
Draw
19.9%
Nancy
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Guingamp
vs
0.93
Nancy
Markets
BTTS49.9%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.5%
2-0
10.6%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
0-1
6.8%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
6.0%
0-0
5.5%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.6%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).