Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.8%
Colchester
25.6%
Draw
32.6%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Colchester
vs
1.17
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
1-0
11.3%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
7.4%
0-0
7.4%
2-0
7.4%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).