Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.5%
Espanol
25.3%
Draw
51.2%
Ath Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Espanol
vs
1.62
Ath Madrid
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.4%
0-0
7.4%
1-0
7.0%
2-1
6.0%
1-3
5.2%
0-3
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).