Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.5%
Pau FC
32.1%
Draw
18.4%
Lyngby Boldklub
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Pau FC
vs
0.64
Lyngby Boldklub
Markets
BTTS34.6%
Over 0.583.7%
Over 1.556.9%
Over 2.529.0%
Over 3.512.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.9%
0-0
16.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-0
11.6%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-0
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
0-2
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
2-2
2.4%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).