Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.6%
Parma
28.5%
Draw
26.0%
Palermo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Parma
vs
1.06
Palermo
Markets
BTTS51.8%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
9.1%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).