Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.1%
Sheffield Weds
30.0%
Draw
43.0%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Sheffield Weds
vs
1.30
Reading
Markets
BTTS46.3%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.519.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-1
12.4%
0-0
11.2%
1-0
9.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).