Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.8%
Ipswich
21.5%
Draw
15.7%
QPR
Expected Goals (xG)
2.13
Ipswich
vs
0.99
QPR
Markets
BTTS56.0%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.560.2%
Over 3.537.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
8.7%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
5.2%
2-2
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
4-0
3.8%
4-1
3.7%
0-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).