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30 Sept 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.0%
Gorica
29.0%
Draw
36.0%
Slaven Koprivnica

Expected Goals (xG)

1.32

Gorica

vs
1.34

Slaven Koprivnica

Markets

BTTS55.8%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.527.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
0-0
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.8%
1-0
7.7%
0-2
6.3%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).