Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.4%
Everton
30.5%
Draw
31.1%
Man United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Everton
vs
1.17
Man United
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
10.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).