Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.2%
Sarpsborg 08
11.8%
Draw
7.1%
Haugesund
Expected Goals (xG)
3.01
Sarpsborg 08
vs
0.81
Haugesund
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.589.4%
Over 2.573.4%
Over 3.553.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
4-0
7.5%
1-0
6.7%
4-1
6.1%
1-1
5.3%
5-0
4.5%
5-1
3.7%
3-2
3.3%
2-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).