Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.6%
Grimsby
25.9%
Draw
29.5%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Grimsby
vs
1.07
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.523.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.4%
1-1
12.2%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.2%
0-0
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).