Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →85.6%
Real Madrid
10.0%
Draw
4.3%
Levante
Expected Goals (xG)
3.09
Real Madrid
vs
0.61
Levante
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.588.5%
Over 2.571.5%
Over 3.550.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
12.2%
2-0
11.8%
4-0
9.4%
1-0
7.5%
3-1
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
5-0
5.8%
4-1
5.7%
1-1
4.8%
5-1
3.5%
0-0
2.6%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).