Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.2%
Accrington
27.7%
Draw
37.1%
Crewe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Accrington
vs
1.13
Crewe
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
0-1
12.8%
1-0
12.4%
0-0
10.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
2.7%
0-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).