Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.4%
Sociedad
23.5%
Draw
22.1%
Mallorca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Sociedad
vs
1.08
Mallorca
Markets
BTTS55.5%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.532.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
5.8%
0-0
5.8%
0-1
5.7%
3-0
5.5%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).