Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.7%
Mainz
24.6%
Draw
34.7%
Ein Frankfurt
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Mainz
vs
1.55
Ein Frankfurt
Markets
BTTS64.9%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.540.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.0%
2-2
6.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-0
5.6%
0-1
5.4%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.7%
0-0
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).