Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.0%
Notts County
13.5%
Draw
5.5%
Altrincham
Expected Goals (xG)
2.74
Notts County
vs
0.63
Altrincham
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.543.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.0%
3-0
11.8%
1-0
9.0%
2-1
8.1%
4-0
8.1%
3-1
7.4%
1-1
6.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-0
4.4%
0-0
3.9%
5-1
2.8%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).