Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →85.3%
Atalanta
9.5%
Draw
5.2%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
3.31
Atalanta
vs
0.76
Crotone
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.598.4%
Over 1.591.3%
Over 2.577.2%
Over 3.558.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
10.3%
2-0
9.3%
4-0
8.5%
3-1
7.9%
2-1
7.1%
4-1
6.5%
1-0
5.7%
5-0
5.7%
5-1
4.3%
1-1
4.2%
3-2
3.0%
2-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).