Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.7%
Hamilton
31.0%
Draw
40.4%
Motherwell
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Hamilton
vs
1.19
Motherwell
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.517.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-1
12.9%
0-0
12.4%
1-0
10.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
3.8%
0-3
3.3%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).