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30 Mar 2024 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.4%
Valladolid
23.5%
Draw
53.1%
Levante

Expected Goals (xG)

1.06

Valladolid

vs
1.73

Levante

Markets

BTTS53.7%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.2%
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-0
6.6%
0-0
6.0%
2-1
6.0%
1-3
5.6%
0-3
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).