Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.4%
Portimonense
22.8%
Draw
30.8%
Rio Ave
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Portimonense
vs
1.34
Rio Ave
Markets
BTTS59.8%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.536.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
6.9%
0-1
6.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-1
5.2%
0-0
4.3%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
3.9%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).