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HHT: 21CSV

29 Feb 2020 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.4%
Barrow
31.7%
Draw
28.9%
Dag and Red

Expected Goals (xG)

1.17

Barrow

vs
0.96

Dag and Red

Markets

BTTS43.8%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.516.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
0-0
13.0%
1-0
12.7%
0-1
10.3%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.2%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).