Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.3%
Sudtirol
30.2%
Draw
34.5%
Cremonese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Sudtirol
vs
1.19
Cremonese
Markets
BTTS50.2%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.3%
1-0
9.6%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).