Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.9%
Sheffield Weds
26.5%
Draw
56.6%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Sheffield Weds
vs
1.63
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS44.7%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.522.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.6%
1-1
12.4%
0-2
11.9%
0-0
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-0
6.0%
1-3
5.1%
2-1
4.5%
2-2
3.7%
2-0
2.7%
0-4
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).