Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.2%
AFC Wimbledon
28.0%
Draw
33.8%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
AFC Wimbledon
vs
0.99
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS40.2%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.559.9%
Over 2.534.0%
Over 3.515.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.8%
0-1
13.7%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
11.6%
2-0
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-0
2.6%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).