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AHT: 00CSV

30 Aug 2025 · 19:45

Roma

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.6%
Pisa
21.0%
Draw
67.4%
Roma

Expected Goals (xG)

0.60

Pisa

vs
1.84

Roma

Markets

BTTS37.8%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.2%
0-2
14.7%
1-1
9.5%
0-3
9.0%
1-2
8.9%
0-0
8.6%
1-3
5.4%
1-0
5.4%
0-4
4.2%
2-1
2.9%
2-2
2.7%
1-4
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).