Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.9%
Maidenhead
28.3%
Draw
29.7%
Altrincham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Maidenhead
vs
1.16
Altrincham
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
7.7%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).