Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.4%
Millwall
28.6%
Draw
29.0%
Norwich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Millwall
vs
1.12
Norwich
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-0
10.1%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
7.9%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).