Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.6%
Boavista
30.2%
Draw
39.2%
Farense
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Boavista
vs
1.04
Farense
Markets
BTTS37.4%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.556.8%
Over 2.530.4%
Over 3.513.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.8%
0-0
14.0%
1-0
13.4%
1-1
12.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-2
7.0%
2-1
5.9%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
3.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).